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Why I'm Confident
Kamala Harris has run an historically outstanding campaign, while Trump is banging rocks together.
Oct 30
•
John Kelly
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Why I'm Confident
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The Inevitability of a Democratic House
An inch-deep look at some of the people who give me enormous hope for the future of the US.
Oct 18
•
John Kelly
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The Inevitability of a Democratic House
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Gauging Enthusiasm Without Polls
Polling is broken in 2024, but there are other indicators to consider.
Oct 16
•
John Kelly
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Gauging Enthusiasm Without Polls
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April 2024
Leaving Trump Behind
The Speaker is putting Ukraine aid to a vote on Saturday. I think this betrays Trump's extraordinary weakness.
Apr 17
•
John Kelly
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Leaving Trump Behind
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March 2024
Save Johnson
MTG thinks she can get rid of Johnson like Gaetz got rid of McCarthy. The Democrats have an historic opportunity in taking her power away.
Mar 22
•
John Kelly
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Save Johnson
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The Buck and Boebert Balderdash
Ken Buck has created a scenario that may destroy Lauren Boebert, but Jared Polis needs to make it happen.
Mar 12
•
John Kelly
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The Buck and Boebert Balderdash
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February 2024
Super Tuesday Preview: California
The Golden State doesn't have any obvious surprises in the primary, but the results will still be a bellwether.
Feb 29
•
John Kelly
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Super Tuesday Preview: California
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Polling Data Added to Analysis Pages
You can now view polling data for a given House/Senate race
Feb 26
•
John Kelly
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Polling Data Added to Analysis Pages
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Primary Coverage
The congressional primaries will start in just a few weeks, and they will be grisly.
Feb 14
•
John Kelly
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Primary Coverage
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Site Updates: 2/1/2024
Senate, FEC Numbers for both Senate and House
Feb 1
•
John Kelly
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Site Updates: 2/1/2024
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January 2024
A Narrowing Way
Trump's path to the White House is getting lost in the weeds.
Jan 25
•
John Kelly
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A Narrowing Way
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December 2023
Iowa's Upcoming Series of Flips
Iowa's legislature is playing with fire, and they might not even be aware of it.
Dec 28, 2023
•
John Kelly
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Iowa's Upcoming Series of Flips
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